Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 97.910413 112.276591 129.186186 150.879082 178.456846 213.054263 260.952459
2024-11-03 81.273267 99.801416 124.113476 159.619574 212.600359 293.511483 438.283896
2024-11-10 75.050017 97.210678 128.958473 180.866140 271.136863 441.572140 865.669677
2024-11-17 65.821566 87.993839 121.500954 180.414182 294.361633 547.941078 1407.138481
2024-11-24 58.899893 80.655536 114.921949 178.804059 314.098584 665.248768 2354.234700
2024-12-01 53.092023 74.021127 108.037250 174.428718 325.918910 777.022675 3976.554030
2024-12-08 48.944907 69.387106 103.606520 173.416876 345.132110 939.456914 8311.572793
2024-12-15 45.786537 65.926241 100.589649 174.398330 370.258146 1170.920023 26720.114791
2024-12-22 42.205163 61.352875 94.882212 168.238174 372.841953 1314.672894 103205.405038
2024-12-29 40.829180 60.357738 95.617089 176.650511 425.019925 1892.591965 NaN
2025-01-05 38.094522 56.727060 90.822793 170.926792 427.467304 2153.401766 NaN
2025-01-12 36.504538 54.971170 89.471378 173.381755 461.992464 2916.107394 NaN
2025-01-19 34.266290 52.061441 85.863726 170.431863 479.435151 3775.130437 NaN
2025-01-26 33.383135 51.566644 87.202769 181.349176 570.335250 7960.621751 NaN
2025-02-02 33.557300 53.048008 92.976937 207.293789 783.602195 61491.667921 NaN
2025-02-09 31.911003 50.865441 90.325982 206.762013 843.281582 388555.250548 NaN
2025-02-16 30.353737 48.718486 87.470958 204.795917 894.171104 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 28.761708 46.376842 83.886088 199.451092 913.924518 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 27.538601 44.680255 81.629703 198.216912 972.699836 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 26.545596 43.371119 80.145533 199.414228 1063.470378 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 25.214357 41.283370 76.552743 191.910636 1050.972529 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 24.805894 41.058452 77.516190 202.164217 1282.921679 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 23.674534 39.256582 74.337516 195.182325 1271.802777 NaN NaN